Randall Newnham

"More Flies With Honey:
Positive Economic Linkage In German Ostpolitik From Bismarck To Kohl"

International Studies Quarterly 44:1 (March 2000)
 
 
 Table 2.  Linkage in German-Polish Relations

The following table summarizes the various cases of economic linkage in German-Polish relations which were examined in this study.  The table first lists the year(s) in which each German linkage attempt took place.  It next classifies each attempt, using the four linkage types developed in the study.  Linkage can be positive (economic incentives) or negative (economic sanctions).  It can also be specific (linked to a single political objective) or general (designed to affect the entire bilateral relationship).  The instruments used in each attempt are also listed.  In the third column, the goals which Germany attempted to achieve in each case are summarized.  Finally, the cases are classified as to their overall success or failure and some details of the results of the cases are given.

Year(s)
Linkage Type
German Goal(s)
Results
1918-1933
Negative General
Embargo during 1920-1921 Polish war with Russia
***
1925-1934 tariff war
Protect German Minority
***
Revise German-Polish Border
Unsuccessful
1920 Polish law bars foreign land ownership
***
No progress on borders, minority rights
1933-ca. 1938
Positive General
End to tariff war
***
1934 trade pact
General improvements in relations
***
Rights of German minority
***
Shift German trade to weak countries
Successful
Non-Aggression Treaty (1934)
***
Minority Rights Treaty (1937)
1949-1955
Negative General
Embargo Policy
Weaken Communist Bloc
***
Progress in unification
Unsuccessful
1955-1956
Positive Specific
Limited credits
***
Trade increase
Emigration for German minority (ca. 100,000 Germans acknowledged by Poles)
Successful
Emigration agreement (12/55)
1963
Positive General
Trade mission set up in Poland
***
First German diplomatic presence since WWII
***
1963 trade treaty
***
Some help with Polish exports to EC
General improvement in ties to FRG without Bonn recognition of border or GDR
***
Effort to create discord between USSR and Poland
Successful
Cited as a major success of conservative "Policy of Movement" (ca. 1963-1968)
1970
Positive General
Brandt package
***
Trade Treaty (10/70)
***
Large Export Credits
General improvement in ties
***
Improvement in German image in Poland
***
Polish acceptance of some border ambiguity
***
German minority issues
Successful
Rallying cry of "German threat" defused gradually 
***
Warsaw Treaty (12/70)
***
"Unilateral" Polish action allows 35,000 ethnic Germans to emigrate
1975
Positive Specific
Poland given 1 billion DM loan
***
1.3 billion DM grant to cover pensions for pre-WWII German citizens now in Poland
 German minority emigration
Successful
Over 125,000 ethnic Germans emigrate
1981
Negative Specific
Aid and Credit Suspension
Resumption of dialogue with Solidarity after marital law declaration
Unsuccessful
1989
Positive General
2.5 billion DM of debt rescheduled (first in West to do this)
***
500 million DM currency stabilization fund
***
2.5 billion export credits despite Polish debt
***
1975 debt essentially forgiven
General improvement in relations with new government
***
German minority rights
***
Polish silence regarding borders
Successful
Joint Declaration of 11/89
***
Allows German minority in Poland to exist openly for first time since WWII
***
Does not include "recognition" of border
1991
Positive Specific
Polish links to EC
***
Support in Polish debt talks
***
Visa-free travel for Poles (4/91)
***
500 million DM fund for WWII victims
Polish granting of special rights to German minority
Successful
German-Polish Treaty (6/91) gives German minority "protected" status
***
German language schools
***
Use of German with officials
***
Right of German citizens to live in Poland when Poland joins EC
***
Guaranteed representatives for German minority in Parliament
post-1991
Positive General (1)
Euroregion Concept
Regional economic cooperation helps improve border security and German links to formerly German regions in Poland
Successful
EC created several Euroregions at German request, benefiting Poles economically
1993-
Positive Specific
Aid for border projects and expense of repatriating illegals
Polish cooperation in halting illegal immigration into Germany
Successful
Poland cooperates with new, controversial German "asylum" policy--agreeing to be a "secure third country" which stops immigrants
(1) For more data on this case, see P. Davis and P. Dombrowski (1997) Appetite of the Wolf: German Foreign Assistance for Central and Eastern Europe. German Politics 6(1):1-22.

For more details on these cases contact the author.

 
 
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